Politics

5 Worst Polls Democrats FEAR This July 4th Holiday

(ConcernedPatriot.com) – Several independent surveys indicate that former President Donald Trump’s momentum on July 4 may be the highest during the 2024 cycle.

Before President Joe Biden’s appalling performance in the debate last week, numerous polls showed Trump leading Biden in practically every category, including national, swing state, and significant issue surveys.

According to post-debate polling, Trump is gaining momentum.
Still, the Biden campaign disagrees with the statistics. An internal survey has recently circulated that indicates Biden’s position in the race is unaltered.

The accuracy of Biden’s internal polling is under question.
After the first presidential debate on June 30, Nate Silver released his election model estimate, which shows that Trump has a six-point advantage over Biden in terms of likely winning the popular vote in November.

George W. Bush, who received 50.73 percent of the vote in 2004, was the last Republican to win the popular vote.

For the first time, Silver’s election model estimate on June 30 indicated that Trump would defeat Biden in the popular vote. The forecast said that one day before the debate, Trump was behind by two points.

More significantly, there is a 68.4% chance that Trump will prevail in the electoral college, which will determine the election’s winner. Biden’s reelection is just 31% possible.

The top five post-debate polls that seem to support Silver’s interpretation are shown below:

One: A Suffolk University survey indicates that 41% of Democratic voters want President Joe Biden to withdraw from the 2024 contest, while 51% prefer him to stay on the ticket.

Two: According to a YouGov survey, 72% of voters believe Biden lacks the mental and cognitive capacity to be president, and another 72% of people want him to withdraw from the contest.

Three: According to a New York Times/Siena survey, Trump leads Biden by six points, up three points from the previous week and the biggest lead the Times has seen since 2015.

Four: A Wall Street Journal poll finds Trump leading Biden by six points, his biggest advantage in Journal polling ever.

Five: A leaked internal Open Labs poll states that “votes for Biden in the two-way horse race declined by -0.8pp,” and “votes for Trump in the multi-way also declined by -0.8pp.”

The email states that the statistics show “the largest single-week drop since horse race tracking began in late 2021.”

Honorable Mention: According to a CNN survey, Trump now leads Biden 49 to 43 percent.

 

POLL: Do you think President Trump will beat Joe Biden?

 

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